Photo Credit: PTI
The results of the latest assembly bypolls have brought mixed fortunes for major political parties across India, but the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has emerged as a clear gainer by winning two out of four contested seats. Victories in Punjab’s Ludhiana West and Gujarat’s Visavadar signal a resurgence for the party, especially in states where it has been trying to deepen its presence. The outcome marks a crucial moment ahead of upcoming state and local elections, offering AAP fresh momentum in two key regions.
AAP Retains Ludhiana West in Punjab
In Punjab, AAP managed to retain the Ludhiana West assembly seat, a significant urban constituency that had fallen vacant following the death of MLA Gurpreet Gogi. The party fielded Rajya Sabha MP Sanjeev Arora, who secured a comfortable win over Congress’s Bharat Bhushan Ashu. The by-election witnessed a voter turnout of just over 51 percent, among the lowest seen in recent bypolls in the state. Despite the low turnout and some internal dissent over candidate selection, AAP’s organisational machinery managed to hold the seat.
This win comes as a relief for the ruling party in Punjab, especially after facing criticism over governance issues and law-and-order concerns. With this result, AAP not only reinforces its hold in Ludhiana—a politically influential district—but also sends a message to its rivals ahead of the 2027 Punjab Assembly elections.
Gujarat Breakthrough in Visavadar
While AAP’s strength in Punjab has been established since its sweeping victory in the 2022 assembly elections, the win in Gujarat’s Visavadar is being viewed as more strategic and symbolic. AAP candidate Gopal Italia, a former state unit chief, defeated BJP’s nominee by a decisive margin. The seat was considered a BJP stronghold, making the result particularly significant for AAP’s ambitions in Gujarat.
This win helps AAP position itself as a serious challenger to the BJP in a state where the saffron party has enjoyed uninterrupted power for nearly three decades. AAP has been slowly building ground in Gujarat, and this bypoll result gives its leadership a chance to consolidate support, especially in Saurashtra and other regions that are experiencing political churn.
Congress and BJP Share the Remaining Seats
The other two bypolls saw Congress winning the Nilambur seat in Kerala, while BJP managed to retain the Kadi seat in Gujarat. The Congress victory in Kerala is largely seen as a regional outcome in a state where the party continues to hold a substantial support base. For BJP, holding on to Kadi offers some reassurance, but the loss of Visavadar to AAP will certainly raise questions about complacency and candidate selection.
With AAP winning 2 of 4 bypoll seats, the political narrative is gradually shifting toward a more competitive multi-party environment in states traditionally dominated by two major players. The bypolls have thus offered a microcosm of emerging trends ahead of larger political battles in 2026 and 2027.
Strategic Gains for AAP
For AAP, the twin victories come at a time when the party is looking to expand its national footprint beyond Delhi and Punjab. While it did not perform strongly in the recent Lok Sabha elections, these bypoll results indicate that AAP retains a strong connect with voters at the state and local level. The leadership under Arvind Kejriwal will now look to use this momentum to build stronger grassroots units in both Gujarat and Punjab.
The Ludhiana West and Visavadar wins provide an opportunity for AAP to showcase its model of governance and anti-corruption agenda to a wider electorate. It also gives the party valuable leverage in upcoming municipal elections and panchayat polls, where local performance can play a big role in shaping political perceptions.
What Lies Ahead
With assembly elections due in several states over the next two years, including Punjab municipal polls and Gujarat local bodies, AAP’s bypoll performance serves as a timely morale booster. The results not only bolster AAP’s confidence but also challenge the dominance of traditional players like the BJP and Congress in crucial pockets.
As the political landscape continues to evolve, AAP winning 2 of 4 bypoll seats will be closely studied by analysts and party strategists alike. The party now faces the task of translating these wins into long-term gains by delivering on promises and maintaining voter trust.